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likely shrink. Excess crush capacity will stimulate more crush for soybeans and rapeseed, and further boost exports of oil and meal for those crops from Ukraine. Denys Sobolev, Agricultural Specialist Dwight Wilder, Agricultural Attaché Forecast for less sunflowers, more soybeans and rapeseed Oilseeds and Products Annual Ukraine UP1706
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Disclaimer: The policy records included in the tool are based on publicly available information from both official and private sources.While efforts have been made to verify its content, FAO does not guarantee the full accuracy or comprehensiveness of the information and recommends to consult / refer to other FAO publications reporting policy developments, especially the Oilcrops Monthly Price
- Which countries export rapeseed oil?
- Canada is the major exporter of rapeseed (canola) oil, accounting for 58% of rapeseed oil exports, but Russia (13%), EU (8%), and Belarus (7%) are also important exporters. Prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, global vegetable oil supplies had tightened due to a variety of factors.
- How has the war in Ukraine affected vegetable oil production?
- Up until now, the war in Ukraine has not a caused any shortage of production inputs for vegetable oils, such as fertiliser and energy. But it has caused their prices to increase. This has pushed up production costs.
- How did the war in Ukraine affect sunflower oil prices?
- When the war in Ukraine started in early 2022, it caused immediate disruption to the global supply of sunflower oil. This has led to much higher prices for nearly all vegetable oils (see figure 3). Because of the uncertainty caused by the war, some countries introduced non‑tariff measures as well.
- Is winter rape sowing a problem in Ukraine?
- The regions most involved in rapeseed production are at risk. However, dry conditions during the winter rape sowing season are not new to Ukraine. Farmers face this phenomenon almost every year. They often shift the sowing dates a little, and sometimes even the sowing is shifted to a date much later than the best time for sowing.
- Why did Ukraine open the Black Sea Corridor in 2024?
- The opening of the Black Sea corridor enabled over 95% of Ukraine’s wheat and corn exports, as well as nearly 90% of its rapeseed exports, to be handled through ports in the final months of 2024, reflecting pre-war practices. Before the war, Ukraine’s neighbouring EU states imported minimal quantities of grain and oilseeds from the country.
- How will the crisis in Ukraine affect vegetable oil prices?
- The main effect of the crisis in Ukraine on competition for vegetable oils from developing countries is higher prices. These will probably remain high for the rest of 2022-2023. Ukraine is the world’s biggest exporter of sunflower oil by far, ahead of Russia. Over the last decade, Ukraine has exported 45-55% of the global supply of sunflower oil.
